Colin forms and heads west

To follow-up from Sunday: Tropical Storm Colin has formed and indeed is heading west. Family and I are scheduled to arrive in Emerald Isle at 3 p.m. Sunday; should we pack an extra poncho and some flashlights & batteries? Will I once again be driving in the contraflow direction, like I did in September 1999 on my way east to Greenville to meet with Floyd?

That being said, the current satellite loop shows what I'd hardly argue was a tropical cyclone-- an open wave, for sure. We'll see what NHC says at 2100UTC.