Warm and blustery, or cool and drizzly?

Today's weather will be very interesting. A warm front is located about 200 km south of Annapolis, and the NWS predicts it to come north of us today (so high temperatures near 70F), then a cold front passing later this evening with rain and thunderstorms. I'm more skeptical, as temperatures in the upper 40s now (at 9:30 a.m.) and drizzle indicating the cool, stable layer is still well entrenched over us. Will be interesting to see what happens, as the severity of the afternoon precipitation strongly depends on the position of the surface warm front. My afternoon bicycle ride home could be quite interesting!