Desierto norte de Chile

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

So will it, or won't it?


For the past 4 days I've been entertained (and alternately dismayed) by the weather forecast for this weekend here. The GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF have been all over the place with their solutions as they attempt to predict where, how intense, and how "wet" the surface low will be as it heads from the Gulf coast. Obviously the favorable (for us, anyway!) solutions are for it to be very intense, very wet, and to take a northeast track hugging the coast. Of course it's dangerous to "cherry pick" one model solution and get excited about it, but that's what I'm doing here in this post (lol): this morning's 12Z GFS has a very deep, very wet, and very close low- prime position for a snow event in Annapolis. If this forecast were to verify perfectly, we'd have ~ 12" of snow here on Sunday. I'll be watching it intently, as always :)

1 Comments:

At 1:27 PM, December 14, 2010, Anonymous Kristy said...

Can you share your thoughts on a snow event for the Triangle????

 

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