Believe it when I see it
The HPC QPF forecasts of late have been very generous, calling for significant precipitation over a broad region up and down the east coast. I haven't been saving the forecasts, so I can only speak qualitatively, but when Annapolis KNAK receives 0.09" during a period when HPC had called for > 1.00", that's an overprediction!
So this week, the 5-day accumulated precipitation forecast calls for between 2-3" between now and Sunday night. I know that the forcing mechanisms are there (deep synoptic-scale trough lifting out now; new one coming in behind it; large-circulation tropical cyclone lurking to the south & predicted to undergo extratropical transition over the Carolinas while interacting with a frontal boundary)... but nevertheless I'll believe >3" of rain it when I see it.
posted by Brad @ 10:32 PM
2 comments
2 Comments:
Oh great guru of all things wet and windy... any concrete predictions (lol, I know, I know) for the Front Range/Wyoming?
BTW... proud of what you've accomplished. Always good to see someone from 340 make it big. That and I'm jealous of storm-chasing. Keep on keeping on and have a wonderful day.
Oh, one last question... how does the magic 8 ball come in on Eastern Carolina hurricane forecasting? Wondered where Skip Waters got his great ideas.
Crabtree Creek was measured at 9" this morning on the news, and they just said that 3-6" are predicted just today. I wonder if my primary way home will be flooded today. Back in 2006, it crested at 23".
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